Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Northern Colorado Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.7% | 72.3% | +5.3 | ✗ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Colorado Bears -9 (72-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jourdan Grant * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Joe Sherburne * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Rodney Elliott * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 25 | - |
| Malcolm Brent * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Daquon Ervin | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Joel Wincowski | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Will Darley | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Sam Schwietz | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Wilson * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jordan Davis * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jeremy Verhagen * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Tanner Morgan | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Spencer Mathis | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Tyler Loose | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Miles Seward | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter