Model Predictions
| Model | UMass Lowell River Hawks | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.6% | 55.4% | +1.2 | ✗ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers -6 (89-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMass Lowell River Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahad Thomas * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 29 | - |
| Isaac White * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Jones * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Mark Cornelius * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Josh Gantz * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Matt Harris | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 35 | - |
| Tyler Livingston | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 24 | - |
| Logan Primerano | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| DJ Mlachnik | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Dontavious Smith | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Elliott * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 31 | - |
| Will Darley * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Jairus Lyles * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 35 | - |
| Jourdan Grant * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 18 | - |
| Joe Sherburne * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Ben Grace | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Joel Wincowski | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Malcolm Brent | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter