Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Maine Black Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.1% | 59.9% | +1.6 | ✗ (5.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.1% | 52.9% | +0.6 | ✗ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Maine Black Bears -4 (79-83). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jairus Lyles * | 39 | 14-19 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 37 | 18 | - |
| Joe Sherburne * | 35 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Will Darley * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Cody Joyce * | 28 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Jourdan Grant * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Rodney Elliott | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Nolan Gerrity | 11 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Ishmail Jabbie | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Malcolm Brent | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joel Wincowski | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ben Grace | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Maine Black Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Little * | 33 | 4-17 | 3-14 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | -2 | - |
| Aaron Calixte * | 32 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Devine Eke * | 28 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Issac Vann * | 23 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Ilija Stojiljkovic * | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Shaun Lawton | 28 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Troy Reid-Knight | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Bernstein | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Till Gloger | 12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
* = starter