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2016-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners Chicago State Cougars Spread Result
Elo 96.3% 3.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 93.9% 6.1% - โœ“
Margin 95.6% 4.4% -16.9 โœ“ (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 89.2% 10.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 95.8% 4.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 95.8% 4.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 81.5% 18.5% - โœ“

Actual: Chicago State Cougars -11 (56-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dedrick Basile * 35 4-9 1-5 3-4 5 2 3 1 3 12 11 -
Brent Wrapp * 29 1-2 0-1 2-2 4 7 1 0 3 4 11 -
Kevin Mays * 28 2-7 0-1 3-6 7 1 0 0 1 7 7 -
Justin Pride * 27 3-7 0-0 2-3 4 2 0 0 2 8 5 -
Aly Ahmed * 24 8-10 1-1 5-7 4 2 0 2 2 22 18 -
Damiyne Durham 27 2-10 2-7 0-2 10 2 1 0 2 6 7 -
Matt Smith 15 4-5 0-0 0-1 0 0 1 1 0 8 5 -
Justin Hollins 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 4 2 0 5 -
Bray Barnes 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Chicago State Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Clemmye Owens * 26 4-7 3-5 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 11 3 -
Fred Sims * 21 4-11 1-3 0-0 3 2 1 1 1 9 4 -
Quron Davis * 17 1-3 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
Trayvon Palmer * 15 0-2 0-1 0-2 2 1 0 1 1 0 1 -
Joshua Batson * 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 2 0 -
Kieran Woods 28 5-10 0-2 5-8 4 6 3 0 1 15 17 -
Devon Friend 19 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 1 0 2 4 -
Anthony Eaves 16 3-7 2-6 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 8 4 -
Elliott Cole 15 1-5 0-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 2 1 -
Montana Byrd 15 0-6 0-3 0-0 6 0 1 1 4 0 -2 -
Jordan Madrid-Andrews 14 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -

* = starter