Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.1% | 89.9% | +12.0 | ✓ (23.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +35 (94-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dedrick Basile * | 33 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Aly Ahmed * | 31 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Brent Wrapp * | 25 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Kevin Mays * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jaylin Airington * | 18 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Damiyne Durham | 26 | 5-15 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Justin Pride | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Justin Hollins | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| PJ Posey | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Bray Barnes | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Rahon * | 36 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Emmett Naar * | 35 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Calvin Hermanson * | 25 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Evan Fitzner * | 25 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Dane Pineau * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jock Landale | 18 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Kyle Clark | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Stefan Gonzalez | 15 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Hunter | 4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jack Biebel | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Franklin Porter | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter