Model Predictions
| Model | UAlbany Great Danes | UMass Lowell River Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.7% | 22.3% | -10.7 | ✓ (14.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.1% | 10.9% | -11.5 | ✓ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.2% | 7.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMass Lowell River Hawks -25 (61-86). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
UAlbany Great Danes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Rowley * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 27 | - |
| Evan Singletary * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Peter Hooley * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Greig Stire * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 32 | - |
| Ray Sanders * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Joe Cremo | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Dallas Ennema | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Jamir Andrews | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Richard Peters | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| David Nichols | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
UMass Lowell River Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahad Thomas * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Isaac White * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Mark Cornelius * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Josh Gantz * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| DJ Mlachnik * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Matt Harris | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Dontavious Smith | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 25 | - |
| Ryan Jones | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Keith Hayes II | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tyler Livingston | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Logan Primerano | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Shea | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter