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NC State Wolfpack 55
@
North Carolina Tar Heels 67
2016-01-16

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 31.2% 68.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 40.9% 59.1% - ✓
Margin 15.4% 84.6% +9.4 ✓ (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 28.1% 71.9% - ✓
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 4.1% 95.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 4.0% 96.0% - ✓

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +12 (67-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Martin 21 3-5 1-2 2-2 2 0 2 0 3 9 5 -
M. Rowan * 36 4-15 2-8 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 10 -4 +0.3
C. Barber * 35 4-11 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 5 9 -3 +0.3
C. Martin * 32 4-7 0-0 2-4 7 3 1 0 4 10 10 -
B. Anya * 28 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 3 1 2 6 -0.7
A. Abu * 27 5-14 0-0 2-2 14 3 0 0 2 12 13 -
L. Freeman 21 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 3 3 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Berry II * 32 5-9 3-5 1-2 4 4 1 1 3 14 12 +4.2
M. Paige * 31 1-9 0-6 1-2 2 3 2 0 2 3 -1 -
K. Meeks * 30 10-16 0-0 3-4 6 0 1 3 1 23 16 +3.7
J. Jackson * 28 2-9 1-3 1-2 3 2 0 0 1 6 1 -
B. Johnson * 18 3-6 0-0 0-1 2 0 1 2 2 6 3 +3.6
I. Hicks 18 3-5 0-0 4-6 6 2 0 1 0 10 14 +0.7
N. Britt 17 1-5 1-3 0-0 3 4 3 0 0 3 8 +3.3
T. Pinson 12 0-5 0-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
L. Maye 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 0 4 -
J. James 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Williams 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter