Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Hurricanes | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.8% | 84.2% | +9.2 | ✓ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +25 (96-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Hurricanes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Reed * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2.9 |
| A. Rodriguez * | 23 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | -2.7 |
| T. Jekiri * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2.2 |
| K. Murphy * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +7.8 |
| S. Mac * | 18 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| A. Lawrence II | 23 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 13 | +5.4 |
| J. Newton | 23 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | - |
| J. Palmer Jr. | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +2.0 |
| E. Izundu | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | +9.0 |
| I. Cruz Uceda | 13 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | +1.9 |
| C. Stowell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Robinson | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brice Johnson * | 32 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 19 | -2.2 |
| Marcus Paige * | 30 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -8.0 |
| Justin Jackson * | 28 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Isaiah Hicks * | 21 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| J. Berry II * | 18 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Theo Pinson | 21 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Kennedy Meeks | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 12 | +5.1 |
| Nate Britt | 15 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -8.1 |
| Joel James | 7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Stilman White | 4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kenny Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Luke Maye | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Spenser Dalton | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Justin Coleman | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kanler Coker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Toby Egbuna | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter