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2016-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 15.5% 84.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.9% 71.1% - โœ“
Margin 6.4% 93.6% +14.7 โœ“ (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 25.1% 74.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 4.4% 95.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 4.4% 95.6% - โœ“

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +8 (86-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Adam Smith * 33 7-15 6-10 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 20 9 -
Marcus Georges-Hunt * 32 6-9 1-2 12-15 6 2 1 1 2 25 24 -
Nick Jacobs * 26 3-9 0-0 0-0 1 0 4 1 1 6 2 -
Josh Heath * 23 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 6 1 0 2 2 4 -4.4
Charles Mitchell * 18 7-13 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 14 6 +0.3
Ben Lammers 21 1-5 0-0 3-4 6 1 1 1 1 5 8 -0.6
Travis Jorgenson 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 5 0 0 2 0 2 +2.7
James White 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 2 4 -0.6
Quinton Stephens 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
Tadric Jackson 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 +4.6
Corey Heyward 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Berry II * 34 5-11 1-3 8-9 5 4 0 0 5 19 12 +5.9
Marcus Paige * 33 5-10 1-5 2-3 3 3 1 0 0 13 10 -1.5
Justin Jackson * 32 3-9 0-2 4-4 4 3 0 0 1 10 7 -
Brice Johnson * 26 6-12 0-0 3-3 11 1 0 2 1 15 16 +4.8
Joel James * 21 5-6 0-0 1-3 5 0 0 0 0 11 10 +2.8
Isaiah Hicks 27 5-7 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 2 1 12 11 +5.8
Nate Britt 14 1-2 0-1 3-3 2 1 0 0 3 5 3 -1.6
Theo Pinson 8 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 -
Luke Maye 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kenny Williams 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter