Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.7% | 62.3% | +2.8 | ✓ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +19 (84-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwayne Bacon * | 35 | 4-17 | 0-6 | 4-8 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Malik Beasley * | 34 | 10-16 | 1-5 | 2-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 8 | - |
| Devon Bookert * | 34 | 7-14 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 12 | +3.5 |
| Boris Bojanovsky * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | +8.3 |
| Montay Brandon * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +2.9 |
| Terance Mann | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Benji Bell | 17 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Christ Koumadje | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -6.0 |
| Jarquez Smith | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +8.6 |
| Michael Saxton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Lee * | 33 | 5-16 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | +7.3 |
| C. Onuaku * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Q. Snider * | 26 | 8-12 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 14 | +0.7 |
| D. Mitchell * | 22 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| J. Johnson * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T. Lewis | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | +0.9 |
| R. Spalding | 15 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| A. Mahmoud | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -7.0 |
| D. Levitch | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Adel | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Stockman | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Avare | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter