Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.4% | 48.6% | -0.3 | ✗ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 88.4% | 11.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +7 (69-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Perrantes * | 37 | 4-13 | 4-7 | 7-8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 11 | -1.0 |
| M. Brogdon * | 33 | 4-17 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| A. Gill * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | -5.7 |
| Dallin Hall * | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -5.9 |
| J. Salt * | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| I. Wilkins | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +4.6 |
| M. Tobey | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +4.7 |
| D. Thompson | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6.2 |
| E. Nolte | 14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +4.4 |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwayne Bacon * | 35 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Malik Beasley * | 31 | 5-10 | 3-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Xavier Rathan-Mayes * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Montay Brandon * | 27 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Boris Bojanovsky * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | +4.8 |
| Jarquez Smith | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +5.3 |
| Devon Bookert | 24 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | +5.4 |
| Terance Mann | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Benji Bell | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
* = starter