Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.3% | 89.7% | +11.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +15 (80-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Beasley * | 34 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Dwayne Bacon * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Xavier Rathan-Mayes * | 19 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 4-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Montay Brandon * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Boris Bojanovsky * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -6.3 |
| Devon Bookert | 34 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | -6.0 |
| Jarquez Smith | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -0.7 |
| Terance Mann | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Christ Koumadje | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -6.9 |
| Benji Bell | 4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -0.9 |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grayson Allen * | 40 | 7-20 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Ingram * | 40 | 5-14 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Matt Jones * | 34 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Marshall Plumlee * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 20 | +2.8 |
| Derryck Thornton * | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | +8.0 |
| Luke Kennard | 25 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Chase Jeter | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
* = starter