Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.9% | 83.1% | +8.7 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +1 (63-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Perrantes * | 39 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Brogdon * | 33 | 7-16 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Dallin Hall * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Gill * | 24 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| I. Wilkins * | 12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Thompson | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Tobey | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Shayok | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| E. Nolte | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grayson Allen * | 40 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 7-11 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Marshall Plumlee * | 39 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Brandon Ingram * | 38 | 10-22 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 7 | - |
| Matt Jones * | 36 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Derryck Thornton * | 34 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chase Jeter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter