Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Miami Hurricanes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.8% | 61.2% | +2.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Hurricanes +11 (80-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grayson Allen * | 39 | 6-17 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Ingram * | 39 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Marshall Plumlee * | 36 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Matt Jones * | 33 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Luke Kennard * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Derryck Thornton | 19 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Chase Jeter | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Hurricanes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Jekiri * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| S. Mac * | 33 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| A. Rodriguez * | 32 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 20 | - |
| K. Murphy * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| D. Reed * | 27 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| J. Newton | 23 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| I. Cruz Uceda | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Palmer Jr. | 11 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
* = starter