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2015-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Clemson Tigers North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 72.8% 27.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 29.1% 70.9% - โœ“
Margin 20.3% 79.7% +7.5 โœ“ (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 30.7% 69.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 3.2% 96.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 13.2% 86.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 13.1% 86.9% - โœ“

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +11 (80-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Roper * 40 6-16 1-4 0-0 3 2 3 0 2 13 3 +2.0
Jaron Blossomgame * 35 5-11 0-1 5-6 6 4 0 1 1 15 14 -3.5
Donte Grantham * 31 2-7 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 5 -3 -3.6
Avry Holmes * 31 4-6 3-5 0-4 3 1 1 0 4 11 6 +3.8
Landry Nnoko * 15 2-5 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 1 0 6 8 -
Gabe DeVoe 16 2-5 2-4 4-4 1 0 0 0 1 10 5 +2.2
Sidy Djitte 15 0-0 0-0 7-8 3 1 1 1 1 7 12 +4.8
Josh Smith 9 0-2 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
Legend Robertin 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ty Hudson 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +5.1

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Paige * 35 8-12 1-3 1-1 5 0 1 0 2 18 10 -3.7
J. Berry II * 34 6-14 0-1 4-4 4 4 2 0 0 16 12 +5.7
Justin Jackson * 30 6-13 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 13 4 -
Brice Johnson * 27 1-8 0-0 1-2 9 3 2 1 2 3 8 -3.4
Joel James * 9 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 -1 -4.5
Theo Pinson 24 5-5 3-3 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 13 15 -
Isaiah Hicks 24 5-6 0-0 4-5 6 2 1 1 2 14 16 +5.6
Nate Britt 12 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 2 0 +1.8
Luke Maye 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter