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2016-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Boston College Eagles Spread Result
Elo 94.0% 6.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 82.4% 17.6% - โœ“
Margin 92.1% 7.9% -13.5 โœ“ (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 92.0% 8.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 96.5% 3.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 95.2% 4.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 95.2% 4.8% - โœ“

Actual: Boston College Eagles -17 (64-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 40 9-18 4-9 3-4 9 3 1 0 3 25 17 -
Grayson Allen * 39 5-8 0-1 7-8 9 5 3 0 3 17 23 -
Matt Jones * 38 5-10 3-7 3-5 2 2 3 1 4 16 10 -
Marshall Plumlee * 34 0-0 0-0 1-4 5 1 2 0 1 1 8 +7.0
Derryck Thornton * 15 1-2 0-1 1-2 1 1 1 0 3 3 1 -
Luke Kennard 27 7-11 1-5 2-3 5 2 0 1 0 17 14 -
Chase Jeter 6 0-0 0-0 2-4 1 0 0 1 2 2 2 -
Nick Pagliuca 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerome Robinson * 36 6-11 0-0 3-3 7 4 4 0 3 15 16 -
Eli Carter * 36 7-16 2-6 3-4 2 5 1 0 2 19 9 -
A.J. Turner * 26 2-4 2-3 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 6 9 -
Dennis Clifford * 26 5-13 0-0 2-4 5 1 0 0 4 12 1 -3.1
Ervins Meznieks * 20 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 0 -3 +9.4
Darryl Hicks 13 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Matt Milon 12 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 3 1 +4.8
Garland Owens 12 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -8.1
Idy Diallo 11 1-2 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
Sammy Barnes-Thompkins 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter