Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 80.7% | 19.3% | -7.9 | ✗ (16.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +9 (69-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Alberts | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Wiltjer * | 38 | 2-17 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -8 | -6.7 |
| Josh Perkins * | 35 | 3-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -4.7 |
| Kyle Dranginis * | 34 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -6.7 |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 33 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Eric McClellan * | 29 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -7.2 |
| Silas Melson | 23 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | -2.2 |
| Ryan Edwards | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3.0 |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nic Moore * | 40 | 8-18 | 2-4 | 7-8 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 21 | - |
| Shake Milton * | 33 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Ben Moore * | 29 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 15 | +21.7 |
| Jordan Tolbert * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +6.7 |
| Sterling Brown * | 25 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | +4.1 |
| Markus Kennedy | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | +6.6 |
| Jarrey Foster | 23 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter