Model Predictions
| Model | Kent State Golden Flashes | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.6% | 93.4% | +18.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.0% | 98.0% | +21.3 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +16 (90-74). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Kent State Golden Flashes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin Walker * | 33 | 5-10 | 5-9 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Jimmy Hall * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Kellon Thomas * | 26 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Galal Cancer * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Khaliq Spicer * | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Christopher Ortiz | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Xavier Pollard | 22 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Raasean Davis | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jalen Avery | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Deon Edwin | 7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nic Moore * | 36 | 9-19 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Jordan Tolbert * | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Shake Milton * | 31 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Ben Moore * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Sterling Brown * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Keith Frazier | 30 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Markus Kennedy | 18 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Jarrey Foster | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jonathan Wilfong | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter