Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.9% | 86.1% | +10.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +11 (80-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Demps * | 37 | 7-16 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Bryant McIntosh * | 36 | 3-15 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Alex Olah * | 27 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Aaron Falzon * | 25 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Sanjay Lumpkin * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Scottie Lindsey | 25 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Joey van Zegeren | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Ash | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nathan Taphorn | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Jackson * | 35 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 21 | - |
| J. Berry II * | 34 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Brice Johnson * | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Theo Pinson * | 29 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Kennedy Meeks * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Isaiah Hicks | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Nate Britt | 17 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Kenny Williams | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Joel James | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Luke Maye | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter