Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.5% | 46.5% | -0.8 | ✗ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 93.7% | 6.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines +5 (61-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rapheal Davis * | 34 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -11.7 |
| Vince Edwards * | 28 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -1.7 |
| Caleb Swanigan * | 25 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| P.J. Thompson * | 24 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A.J. Hammons * | 24 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Cline | 20 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | -11.5 |
| Johnny Hill | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -11.5 |
| Isaac Haas | 16 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | -9.9 |
| Dakota Mathias | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moritz Wagner | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Abdur-Rahkman * | 36 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| D. Walton Jr. * | 36 | 1-10 | 0-6 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +16.7 |
| Zak Irvin * | 35 | 8-19 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 9 | +16.2 |
| Duncan Robinson * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Mark Donnal * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | +16.3 |
| Aubrey Dawkins | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +15.6 |
| Ricky Doyle | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +3.6 |
| Caris LeVert | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Kameron Chatman | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +11.6 |
| D.J. Wilson | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter