Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan Wolverines | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.7% | 76.3% | +6.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +17 (87-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moritz Wagner | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Abdur-Rahkman * | 39 | 10-16 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Zak Irvin * | 38 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -1 | -10.7 |
| D. Walton Jr. * | 33 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | -10.2 |
| Duncan Robinson * | 30 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Mark Donnal * | 13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +4.6 |
| D.J. Wilson | 15 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Aubrey Dawkins | 12 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Andrew Dakich | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4.9 |
| Ricky Doyle | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Moritz Wagner | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rapheal Davis * | 32 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | +8.9 |
| A.J. Hammons * | 29 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Vince Edwards * | 25 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 15 | +9.0 |
| Caleb Swanigan * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Johnny Hill * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +6.4 |
| Dakota Mathias | 21 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +9.1 |
| P.J. Thompson | 19 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Kendall Stephens | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Cline | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Isaac Haas | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +6.3 |
* = starter