Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.7% | 66.3% | +3.7 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +1 (82-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denzel Valentine * | 42 | 10-23 | 5-12 | 2-2 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 21 | +6.8 |
| Bryn Forbes * | 41 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Matt Costello * | 30 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | +6.4 |
| Deyonta Davis * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Eron Harris * | 20 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -0.5 |
| Matt McQuaid | 25 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | -2.5 |
| Kenny Goins | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | +2.0 |
| Gavin Schilling | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -0.6 |
| A. Ellis III | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Colby Wollenman | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Javon Bess | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Clark II | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rapheal Davis * | 43 | 8-22 | 6-8 | 2-5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Vince Edwards * | 36 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 7-9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1.2 |
| A.J. Hammons * | 32 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 27 | - |
| P.J. Thompson * | 30 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Caleb Swanigan * | 24 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -4 | - |
| Johnny Hill | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Cline | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Dakota Mathias | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Isaac Haas | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +3.8 |
| Kendall Stephens | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +3.4 |
| Jacquil Taylor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter