Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.5% | 50.5% | +0.1 | ✗ (16.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.3% | 6.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.3% | 6.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines -16 (73-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryn Forbes * | 34 | 10-13 | 8-10 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 16 | - |
| Denzel Valentine * | 34 | 8-13 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Eron Harris * | 27 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Matt Costello * | 25 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Deyonta Davis * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Kenny Goins | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Matt McQuaid | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Gavin Schilling | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Colby Wollenman | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Javon Bess | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Clark II | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kyle Ahrens | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Matt Van Dyk | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moritz Wagner | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Walton Jr. * | 35 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| M. Abdur-Rahkman * | 32 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Zak Irvin * | 32 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 5 | - |
| Duncan Robinson * | 25 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Mark Donnal * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Aubrey Dawkins | 17 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Ricky Doyle | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D.J. Wilson | 14 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Andrew Dakich | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Kameron Chatman | 5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Moritz Wagner | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter