Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.0% | 19.0% | -8.0 | ✓ (0.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.7% | 5.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.8% | 5.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers -8 (61-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryn Forbes * | 33 | 7-17 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Matt Costello * | 29 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 22 | +6.4 |
| Eron Harris * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Gavin Schilling * | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | -0.7 |
| Matt McQuaid | 30 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.3 |
| Deyonta Davis | 17 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Kenny Goins | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Javon Bess | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +1.6 |
| Kyle Ahrens | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Mason * | 33 | 5-17 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | -0.6 |
| Carlos Morris * | 32 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Murphy * | 31 | 7-18 | 0-2 | 0-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | +3.9 |
| Joey King * | 29 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -0.3 |
| Bakary Konate * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -0.3 |
| Kevin Dorsey | 25 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | +3.3 |
| Dupree McBrayer | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Gaston Diedhiou | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ahmad Gilbert | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter