🐻⬇️🏀

@
2016-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 17.5% 82.5% -
Bradley-Terry 40.7% 59.3% -
Margin 35.8% 64.2% +3.2 (13.2 off)
Pythagorean 75.1% 24.9% -
Efficiency 89.3% 10.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 83.8% 16.2% -
Log Adjusted 83.8% 16.2% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines -10 (61-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Uthoff * 38 11-19 4-10 3-3 7 1 4 3 1 29 24 -4.0
A. Clemmons * 35 4-7 2-3 2-4 3 2 0 0 1 12 9 -5.5
P. Jok * 33 4-14 2-10 0-0 4 4 0 0 4 10 0 +9.0
M. Gesell * 33 3-7 0-2 0-0 3 11 2 0 1 6 14 -5.9
A. Woodbury * 29 4-7 0-0 1-2 11 1 0 0 0 9 14 -5.6
A. Wagner 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
N. Baer 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 -4.3
D. Uhl 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
C. Williams 7 1-3 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -2.2

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Walton Jr. * 38 5-11 4-9 0-0 5 6 0 0 1 14 13 +3.7
M. Abdur-Rahkman * 36 4-13 0-6 2-3 4 2 0 1 1 10 3 -
Z. Irvin * 35 4-13 1-6 2-4 8 3 1 0 4 11 6 +9.8
M. Donnal * 28 4-10 1-3 0-0 10 0 1 0 0 9 10 +9.9
D. Robinson * 28 2-9 1-6 3-4 8 2 1 0 3 8 7 -
A. Dawkins 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
R. Doyle 11 1-1 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 +5.9
K. Chatman 8 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 2 +5.7
A. Dakich 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
D.J. Wilson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter