Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Iowa Hawkeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.8% | 87.2% | +12.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.9% | 84.1% | +9.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +14 (85-71). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryant McIntosh * | 36 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Tre Demps * | 36 | 11-22 | 6-15 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 15 | - |
| Aaron Falzon * | 19 | 0-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Sanjay Lumpkin * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Alex Olah * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Scottie Lindsey | 26 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Dererk Pardon | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Gavin Skelly | 12 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Nathan Taphorn | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Ash | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Joey van Zegeren | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarrod Uthoff * | 30 | 8-16 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Anthony Clemmons * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Mike Gesell * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Peter Jok * | 22 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 10-12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 23 | - |
| Adam Woodbury * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Dom Uhl | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 6-10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Nicholas Baer | 17 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Brady Ellingson | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ahmad Wagner | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Christian Williams | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Andrew Fleming | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter