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2016-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 70.3% 29.7% -
Bradley-Terry 45.1% 54.9% -
Margin 39.1% 60.9% +2.4 (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 18.9% 81.1% -
Efficiency 4.7% 95.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.2% 89.8% -
Log Adjusted 10.2% 89.8% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +11 (82-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Wagner 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
D. Walton Jr. * 36 5-14 3-11 3-4 5 6 0 0 1 16 12 +5.6
D. Robinson * 34 3-9 2-8 3-3 2 2 0 0 2 11 4 -
M. Abdur-Rahkman * 33 3-5 1-1 0-0 3 4 0 2 3 7 8 -
Z. Irvin * 30 3-8 1-2 4-5 8 5 0 0 3 11 13 -1.2
M. Donnal * 28 4-7 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 3 8 5 -1.2
A. Dawkins 18 4-6 3-5 1-2 2 1 1 1 1 12 10 +1.6
M. Wagner 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
D.J. Wilson 6 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
A. Dakich 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.1
R. Doyle 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Gesell * 33 1-4 0-2 2-2 5 7 2 1 0 4 15 -
A. Clemmons * 30 2-6 1-4 0-0 1 6 1 1 2 5 6 +5.5
P. Jok * 28 6-11 4-6 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 16 11 +6.0
J. Uthoff * 28 9-20 2-4 3-3 4 1 1 1 0 23 10 -0.7
A. Woodbury * 28 5-7 0-0 2-2 6 2 1 0 0 12 14 -
N. Baer 20 2-5 1-4 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 7 5 +6.4
D. Uhl 20 4-6 2-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 10 7 +6.3
A. Wagner 11 2-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
B. Ellingson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter