Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.4% | 74.6% | +5.9 | ✗ (22.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -17 (59-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarrod Uthoff * | 35 | 5-18 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 10 | +16.5 |
| Anthony Clemmons * | 31 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | +13.4 |
| Adam Woodbury * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | +2.7 |
| Peter Jok * | 31 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 16 | +2.0 |
| Mike Gesell * | 20 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +2.5 |
| Dom Uhl | 17 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Nicholas Baer | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +16.0 |
| Brady Ellingson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Christian Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +12.5 |
| Ahmad Wagner | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +2.5 |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denzel Valentine * | 37 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | -0.2 |
| Matt Costello * | 30 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 16 | -10.8 |
| L. Nairn Jr. * | 21 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | -11.5 |
| Gavin Schilling * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | -11.5 |
| Bryn Forbes * | 10 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Eron Harris | 25 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -3 | -11.6 |
| Deyonta Davis | 25 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Matt McQuaid | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Colby Wollenman | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Javon Bess | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Clark II | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kenny Goins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter