Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Iowa Hawkeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.2% | 48.8% | -0.3 | ✗ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +13 (83-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryn Forbes * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Matt Costello * | 23 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Eron Harris * | 22 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 11 | - |
| M. Clark II * | 14 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 17 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Matt McQuaid | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kenny Goins | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Javon Bess | 11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Deyonta Davis | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Gavin Schilling | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Colby Wollenman | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kyle Ahrens | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Matt Van Dyk | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Gesell * | 33 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 11-13 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 22 | - |
| Peter Jok * | 29 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 6-8 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Anthony Clemmons * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jarrod Uthoff * | 26 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Adam Woodbury * | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Nicholas Baer | 21 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Dom Uhl | 21 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Ahmad Wagner | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Brady Ellingson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter