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2016-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 46.0% 54.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 39.7% 60.3% - โœ“
Margin 39.3% 60.7% +2.4 โœ“ (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.4% 52.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 55.2% 44.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 55.5% 44.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 44.4% 55.6% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +4 (77-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rapheal Davis * 34 0-4 0-2 0-0 5 3 0 0 1 0 3 -
P.J. Thompson * 31 4-8 3-7 0-0 1 4 1 0 3 11 6 -
Caleb Swanigan * 28 5-6 0-1 4-9 8 1 0 0 1 14 16 -
Vince Edwards * 27 4-6 3-3 1-2 4 4 0 0 2 12 12 -
A.J. Hammons * 16 6-9 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 2 3 13 4 -
Isaac Haas 19 4-5 0-0 4-4 2 0 0 0 1 12 8 -
Ryan Cline 18 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 3 2 -
Dakota Mathias 14 2-3 2-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 6 8 -
Johnny Hill 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
Kendall Stephens 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Yogi Ferrell * 36 7-13 3-7 1-2 3 4 1 0 2 18 11 -
Troy Williams * 34 7-11 2-4 3-4 1 2 4 0 0 19 15 -
Robert Johnson * 27 2-3 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 6 6 -
Thomas Bryant * 23 3-8 1-2 3-4 5 1 1 0 0 10 9 -
Max Bielfeldt * 19 4-10 2-5 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 10 6 -
Collin Hartman 20 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 2 5 -
OG Anunoby 17 3-6 1-2 2-3 1 0 0 0 0 9 4 -
Nick Zeisloft 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Juwan Morgan 8 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 3 3 -
Harrison Niego 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
Ryan Burton 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter