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2016-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 35.4% 64.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 44.4% 55.6% - โœ“
Margin 48.4% 51.6% +0.4 โœ“ (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 27.5% 72.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 36.9% 63.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 36.8% 63.2% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +7 (85-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarrod Uthoff * 38 8-20 2-7 6-8 5 1 1 1 0 24 12 -0.9
Adam Woodbury * 35 6-10 0-0 1-3 15 1 0 0 1 13 18 -1.4
Anthony Clemmons * 34 5-13 2-6 0-0 3 5 1 0 1 12 7 -1.3
Mike Gesell * 32 6-9 1-1 4-6 3 6 1 0 2 17 16 -9.6
Peter Jok * 30 4-7 2-3 2-4 4 0 2 0 3 12 8 -0.8
Nicholas Baer 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 +8.1
Dom Uhl 12 0-2 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ahmad Wagner 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Brady Ellingson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Yogi Ferrell * 35 2-12 2-9 8-8 2 1 2 0 2 14 5 -
Robert Johnson * 32 4-6 3-5 2-2 4 2 0 0 2 13 11 -
Troy Williams * 29 5-12 0-2 3-5 7 2 1 0 3 13 8 -
Collin Hartman * 28 3-5 1-2 0-0 7 2 1 1 2 7 11 +11.7
Thomas Bryant * 14 4-6 0-0 2-2 7 2 0 0 0 10 13 -
Max Bielfeldt 25 5-12 0-2 0-0 4 1 2 2 1 10 6 +5.0
Nick Zeisloft 17 3-5 3-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 9 7 -6.1
OG Anunoby 9 1-3 0-0 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 4 4 -
Harrison Niego 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 +10.6
Juwan Morgan 4 1-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 3 5 -

* = starter