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2016-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Wake Forest Demon Deacons Spread Result
Elo 85.8% 14.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 77.1% 22.9% - โœ“
Margin 86.6% 13.4% -10.3 โœ“ (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 68.0% 32.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 89.9% 10.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 90.0% 10.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 71.0% 29.0% - โœ“

Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons -16 (75-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 39 5-13 2-5 5-6 5 3 3 4 1 17 18 -
Marshall Plumlee * 34 7-7 0-0 4-4 7 1 0 2 0 18 21 -
Grayson Allen * 32 7-10 3-4 7-8 3 3 2 1 1 24 22 -
Derryck Thornton * 29 3-9 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 7 2 -
Matt Jones * 26 1-8 0-6 0-0 3 1 1 1 1 2 -1 -
Luke Kennard 32 7-11 0-1 9-9 5 3 1 0 1 23 20 -
Chase Jeter 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Sean Obi 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Codi Miller-McIntyre * 37 9-19 0-1 2-3 7 3 0 0 2 20 9 -
Devin Thomas * 27 9-11 0-0 3-6 12 3 0 1 2 21 24 -
Bryant Crawford * 25 0-6 0-1 1-2 2 2 1 0 3 1 -3 -
Mitchell Wilbekin * 24 0-5 0-5 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 0 -2 -
D. Mitoglou * 15 2-3 1-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 7 5 -
Cornelius Hudson 27 4-8 3-6 1-1 0 2 1 0 2 12 5 -
John Collins 20 4-9 0-0 3-6 7 0 0 2 0 11 11 -
Rondale Watson 19 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 3 5 -
Greg McClinton 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Trent VanHorn 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter