Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.3% | 50.7% | +0.2 | ✓ (33.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +34 (103-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hill * | 30 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 12 | -3.8 |
| J. Coleman-Lands * | 28 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| K. Nunn * | 27 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | -4.2 |
| M. Finke * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Tate * | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2.0 |
| K. Lewis | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Thorne Jr. | 16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| A. Jordan | 14 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| D.J. Williams | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Austin | 6 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M. Morgan | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +4.4 |
| C. Liss | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yogi Ferrell * | 31 | 5-10 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Troy Williams * | 25 | 8-11 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Robert Johnson * | 25 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Collin Hartman * | 23 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | +4.8 |
| Thomas Bryant * | 19 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Nick Zeisloft | 17 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | +7.8 |
| Max Bielfeldt | 17 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 22 | +4.4 |
| OG Anunoby | 12 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Harrison Niego | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Juwan Morgan | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Burton | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Jackson Tharp | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tim Priller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Quentin Taylor | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter