Model Predictions
| Model | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.7% | 72.3% | +5.3 | ✓ (15.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +21 (77-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Vasturia * | 34 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | +17.5 |
| Demetrius Jackson * | 34 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 6 | -12.2 |
| V.J. Beachem * | 31 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Zach Auguste * | 30 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 16 | +5.8 |
| Bonzie Colson * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -12.3 |
| Rex Pflueger | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -12.7 |
| Matt Ryan | 15 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Matt Farrell | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Austin Burgett | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Austin Torres | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.9 |
| Martinas Geben | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwayne Bacon * | 32 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Boris Bojanovsky * | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Malik Beasley * | 22 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Montay Brandon * | 20 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +14.1 |
| Xavier Rathan-Mayes * | 16 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Devon Bookert | 30 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +1.7 |
| Benji Bell | 25 | 5-15 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | +15.6 |
| Terance Mann | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jarquez Smith | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Christ Koumadje | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Michael Saxton | 2 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter