Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.9% | 52.1% | +0.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +5 (71-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Snider * | 37 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +0.3 |
| D. Lee * | 36 | 4-13 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | -9.4 |
| T. Lewis * | 25 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +9.8 |
| C. Onuaku * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. Johnson * | 17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Spalding | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| D. Mitchell | 18 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 2 | - |
| A. Mahmoud | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7.7 |
| M. Stockman | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +9.0 |
| D. Adel | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +9.3 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demetrius Jackson * | 40 | 7-15 | 6-12 | 7-7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 15 | +4.7 |
| Steve Vasturia * | 39 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | +12.0 |
| Zach Auguste * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 16 | +5.0 |
| V.J. Beachem * | 33 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Bonzie Colson * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 13 | +4.4 |
| Rex Pflueger | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -7.7 |
| Matt Ryan | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter