Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.8% | 26.2% | -5.7 | ✗ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +4 (80-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Williams | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Justin Jackson * | 36 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Paige * | 36 | 7-12 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | -1.4 |
| J. Berry II * | 34 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | -1.2 |
| Brice Johnson * | 28 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | +6.1 |
| Kennedy Meeks * | 17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | -1.8 |
| Isaiah Hicks | 19 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | -0.7 |
| Theo Pinson | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Joel James | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Luke Maye | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demetrius Jackson * | 40 | 5-18 | 0-5 | 9-9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 11 | +0.8 |
| Steve Vasturia * | 39 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | +7.3 |
| Zach Auguste * | 33 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 5-11 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 18 | +6.8 |
| V.J. Beachem * | 31 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Bonzie Colson * | 28 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | +6.2 |
| Rex Pflueger | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Matt Ryan | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Austin Torres | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter