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2016-02-06

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Notre Dame Fighting Irish Spread Result
Elo 75.0% 25.0% -
Bradley-Terry 44.8% 55.2% -
Margin 73.8% 26.2% -5.7 (9.7 off)
Pythagorean 67.2% 32.8% -
Efficiency 92.8% 7.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 88.2% 11.8% -
Log Adjusted 88.3% 11.7% -

Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +4 (80-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Williams 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Jackson * 36 1-7 0-1 3-3 4 4 0 0 1 5 5 -
M. Paige * 36 7-12 5-8 2-2 1 3 0 0 2 21 11 -1.4
J. Berry II * 34 3-8 1-3 3-4 4 5 0 1 2 10 10 -1.2
B. Johnson * 28 6-16 0-0 2-2 14 0 1 3 3 14 13 +6.1
K. Meeks * 17 5-6 0-0 2-4 4 1 0 0 0 12 11 -1.8
I. Hicks 19 4-8 0-0 4-6 4 0 0 0 3 12 5 -0.7
T. Pinson 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 1 1 0 6 -
J. James 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
L. Maye 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Jackson * 40 5-18 0-5 9-9 6 2 2 0 0 19 11 +0.8
S. Vasturia * 39 4-11 1-3 4-5 4 4 4 0 1 13 13 +7.3
Z. Auguste * 33 5-11 0-0 5-11 10 1 1 2 0 15 18 +6.8
V.J. Beachem * 31 2-10 2-7 4-4 0 1 0 1 0 10 2 -
B. Colson * 28 7-12 0-0 5-5 10 0 0 0 1 19 16 +6.2
R. Pflueger 20 0-2 0-0 4-4 3 1 2 0 0 4 8 -
M. Ryan 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Torres 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter