Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Pittsburgh Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 83.7% | 16.3% | -9.0 | ✗ (23.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers +14 (76-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grayson Allen * | 38 | 6-13 | 3-9 | 7-8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Brandon Ingram * | 37 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Derryck Thornton * | 35 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -3 | -1.5 |
| Marshall Plumlee * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Matt Jones * | 25 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 28 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Chase Jeter | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamel Artis * | 36 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| James Robinson * | 36 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Chris Jones * | 32 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Michael Young * | 17 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Rafael Maia * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Sheldon Jeter | 24 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Luther | 24 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +6.2 |
| Cameron Johnson | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Sterling Smith | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Damon Wilson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Alonzo Nelson-Ododa | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mike Lecak | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter