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2016-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Pittsburgh Panthers Spread Result
Elo 46.9% 53.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 70.2% 29.8% - โœ“
Margin 49.4% 50.6% +0.1 โœ— (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 54.0% 46.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 78.5% 21.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 74.0% 26.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 74.4% 25.6% - โœ“

Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers -7 (60-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lee * 40 3-8 2-5 5-7 4 0 0 0 3 13 6 +12.9
C. Onuaku * 30 5-8 0-0 0-0 5 6 1 2 2 10 14 -
D. Adel * 29 5-7 1-3 1-2 7 1 0 0 2 12 11 +17.4
J. Johnson * 16 3-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
T. Lewis * 12 0-3 0-1 0-1 3 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Q. Snider 34 6-9 2-4 0-0 2 7 2 0 3 14 13 -0.5
D. Levitch 16 3-4 2-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 8 6 -4.2
D. Mitchell 11 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 1 -
M. Stockman 9 1-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 2 2 +4.8
J. Henderson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Robinson * 38 4-9 0-2 4-4 3 3 2 0 0 12 11 -
Jamel Artis * 34 3-13 2-7 5-6 9 1 1 0 5 13 6 -14.3
Michael Young * 32 5-10 0-2 0-4 7 3 0 0 3 10 7 -
Chris Jones * 30 2-4 0-1 2-4 1 1 0 1 1 6 4 -14.8
Rafael Maia * 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Ryan Luther 28 6-8 2-3 3-3 5 1 1 1 2 17 15 -11.1
Sheldon Jeter 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
Cameron Johnson 9 0-3 0-2 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 0 2 -
Sterling Smith 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Damon Wilson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Alonzo Nelson-Ododa 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter