Model Predictions
| Model | Pittsburgh Panthers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.6% | 89.4% | +11.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +21 (85-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Robinson * | 32 | 6-19 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 0 | - |
| Chris Jones * | 25 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | +2.1 |
| Jamel Artis * | 21 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +2.5 |
| Sheldon Jeter * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2.4 |
| Rafael Maia * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Michael Young | 24 | 7-13 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Luther | 17 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Damon Wilson | 17 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Cameron Johnson | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Sterling Smith | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Alonzo Nelson-Ododa | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Paige * | 33 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | +1.7 |
| Brice Johnson * | 30 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Justin Jackson * | 29 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| J. Berry II * | 28 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 17 | +1.8 |
| Kennedy Meeks * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | +1.3 |
| Isaiah Hicks | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Theo Pinson | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Nate Britt | 14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | +1.9 |
| Luke Maye | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Joel James | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kenny Williams | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Stilman White | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter