Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Pittsburgh Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.7% | 36.3% | -3.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers -14 (50-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Perrantes * | 34 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| M. Brogdon * | 33 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| I. Wilkins * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Dallin Hall * | 24 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Gill * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| M. Shayok | 18 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| E. Nolte | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Tobey | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Thompson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. Reuter | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Kirven | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Bartley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Young * | 34 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Jamel Artis * | 32 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| James Robinson * | 26 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Sheldon Jeter * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Sterling Smith * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Damon Wilson | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Chris Jones | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Cameron Johnson | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Ryan Luther | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Alonzo Nelson-Ododa | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Rafael Maia | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter