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2016-02-29

Model Predictions

Model Syracuse Orange North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 26.8% 73.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.8% 62.2% - โœ“
Margin 13.1% 86.9% +10.4 โœ“ (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 34.2% 65.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 4.5% 95.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 17.5% 82.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 17.5% 82.5% - โœ“

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +5 (75-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael Gbinije * 39 6-16 1-6 4-5 3 7 0 0 7 17 4 +4.2
Malachi Richardson * 37 3-9 1-4 3-4 2 0 1 0 4 10 0 -
Tyler Roberson * 34 4-8 0-0 1-1 11 0 1 0 1 9 12 -
Trevor Cooney * 33 3-11 2-7 6-6 1 1 2 0 0 14 7 +4.0
DaJuan Coleman * 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 4 7 +5.8
Tyler Lydon 36 3-7 1-3 5-6 6 0 1 2 0 12 14 -
Frank Howard 12 2-2 0-0 0-1 1 1 2 0 2 4 4 -2.2

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Paige * 37 2-10 1-7 1-1 2 8 0 1 1 6 6 +4.3
Brice Johnson * 24 6-10 0-0 2-4 10 1 0 1 1 14 15 -3.4
Joel James * 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Spenser Dalton * 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Justin Coleman * 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Justin Jackson 34 4-11 1-5 1-2 3 3 1 0 2 10 4 -
J. Berry II 32 4-9 2-6 3-4 6 0 2 0 3 13 9 -
Isaiah Hicks 22 4-9 0-0 2-4 6 0 0 1 1 10 7 +0.5
Kennedy Meeks 13 3-5 0-0 4-4 3 1 1 0 1 10 9 -3.9
Theo Pinson 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 3 4 -
Nate Britt 11 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 1 2 0 3 5 0 +0.4
Luke Maye 6 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter