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North Carolina Tar Heels 84
@
Syracuse Orange 73
2016-01-09

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Syracuse Orange Spread Result
Elo 57.8% 42.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 48.1% 51.9% - ✗
Margin 70.3% 29.7% -4.7 ✓ (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 59.8% 40.2% - ✓
Efficiency 89.5% 10.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 76.5% 23.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 76.5% 23.5% - ✓

Actual: Syracuse Orange -11 (73-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Paige * 35 1-8 1-6 0-0 6 8 1 0 2 3 8 +12.3
B. Johnson * 33 7-11 0-0 2-3 4 8 2 1 2 16 18 -7.3
J. Berry II * 32 4-7 2-4 4-4 1 4 4 0 0 14 16 -
J. Jackson * 23 8-11 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 16 8 -
J. James * 10 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 6 7 -
I. Hicks 22 5-5 0-0 11-13 8 0 0 0 0 21 24 +12.3
T. Pinson 18 0-4 0-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -4 -
K. Meeks 14 4-8 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 8 2 -1.0
N. Britt 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 0 0 +12.2

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Cooney * 39 10-21 5-12 2-2 5 1 1 0 0 27 13 -7.8
M. Gbinije * 37 3-13 0-6 4-5 6 4 2 0 3 10 6 -
M. Richardson * 35 6-15 4-10 0-0 4 5 1 0 4 16 7 -
T. Roberson * 32 5-5 0-0 3-4 7 1 0 1 2 13 15 -
D. Coleman * 27 2-3 0-0 1-1 7 2 0 1 2 5 10 +3.0
T. Lydon 23 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 4 1 2 4 -
F. Howard 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +2.9
K. Joseph 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter