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2016-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 18.5% 81.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.7% 71.3% - โœ“
Margin 25.8% 74.2% +5.8 โœ“ (12.2 off)
Pythagorean 24.8% 75.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 8.8% 91.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 8.7% 91.3% - โœ“

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +18 (67-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Galloway 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Wilson * 34 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 0 1 -4.7
K. Blackshear Jr. * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 0 5 -0.2
S. Allen * 30 3-9 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 6 0 -
J. Bibbs * 27 2-6 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 -1 -0.2
J. Robinson * 26 4-5 2-2 6-7 1 1 0 0 3 16 10 -
J. Hudson 21 2-8 1-3 0-2 3 0 1 0 1 5 0 -0.1
Z. LeDay 17 1-7 1-4 4-4 4 1 1 0 4 7 2 -4.5
C. Clarke 13 4-7 0-0 3-4 4 0 2 0 2 11 8 +0.9
S. Henry 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Perrantes * 32 1-4 1-1 3-3 5 4 1 0 2 6 10 +2.1
M. Brogdon * 31 4-12 1-4 3-3 3 3 0 0 2 12 4 -
Dallin Hall * 29 1-6 0-3 0-0 5 5 0 3 2 2 7 +6.7
A. Gill * 29 6-11 0-0 4-5 2 1 0 1 1 16 8 +2.2
I. Wilkins * 23 5-7 0-1 4-4 4 1 1 1 1 14 13 +1.9
D. Thompson 17 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 3 0 1 0 3 8 +6.4
E. Nolte 15 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 4 6 +6.3
M. Tobey 11 4-5 0-0 2-3 1 0 0 1 0 10 7 -
M. Shayok 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 -
J. Reuter 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter