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2016-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Virginia Tech Hokies Spread Result
Elo 43.5% 56.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 51.6% 48.4% - โœ“
Margin 36.4% 63.6% +3.1 โœ— (11.1 off)
Pythagorean 65.5% 34.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 88.5% 11.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 70.8% 29.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 70.9% 29.1% - โœ“

Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -8 (83-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lee * 40 6-8 6-7 11-12 5 6 1 0 5 29 28 +9.7
Q. Snider * 34 1-8 1-3 2-2 1 5 0 0 2 5 1 -
T. Lewis * 32 6-14 4-7 6-6 5 1 0 0 1 22 13 +15.4
J. Johnson * 29 5-9 1-1 0-1 9 3 0 1 1 11 14 -
C. Onuaku * 14 4-4 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 2 3 9 9 -
A. Mahmoud 15 2-5 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 3 0 4 2 +12.3
D. Mitchell 14 1-2 0-0 1-4 1 2 1 0 3 3 2 -
R. Spalding 11 0-0 0-0 4-6 2 1 0 0 0 4 7 -
M. Stockman 9 2-2 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 1 0 4 4 +12.1
D. Levitch 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. LeDay * 38 6-11 0-1 8-8 3 1 1 2 1 20 15 -5.3
J. Hudson * 37 7-14 1-2 12-14 7 1 0 0 2 27 19 +5.1
S. Allen * 30 6-13 1-7 13-14 4 2 1 0 4 26 16 -
J. Bibbs * 24 4-7 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 10 4 +5.0
S. Henry * 18 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 2 +4.1
J. Robinson 16 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Blackshear Jr. 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -11.0
D. Wilson 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -3.6
J. Hamilton 9 0-2 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter