Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Virginia Tech Hokies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.7% | 36.3% | -3.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.0% | 5.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -5 (70-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Paige * | 34 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | -6.5 |
| J. Berry II * | 33 | 5-17 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | +0.0 |
| Brice Johnson * | 28 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 25 | +6.1 |
| Justin Jackson * | 24 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Kennedy Meeks * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 11 | -6.7 |
| Theo Pinson | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Isaiah Hicks | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Nate Britt | 12 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Luke Maye | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Kenny Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. LeDay * | 34 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 9-11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 14 | +11.0 |
| S. Allen * | 34 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| J. Hudson * | 32 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | -1 | +8.4 |
| J. Bibbs * | 20 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +10.4 |
| S. Henry * | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Blackshear Jr. | 27 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 3-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | +1.9 |
| D. Wilson | 22 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| J. Robinson | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| S. Pierce | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter