Model Predictions
| Model | Tulsa Shock | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.4% | 76.6% | +6.5 | ✓ (26.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +33 (88-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tulsa Shock
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Christmas-Kelly | 31 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| O. Sims | 30 | 7-21 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 3 | - |
| P. Pierson | 28 | 5-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| J. Hooper | 26 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 5-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| C. Paris | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| R. Williams | 16 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| V. Baugh | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Kiesel | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. Jackson-Jones | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Zahui B. | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Plaisance | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 18 | 28 | - |
| M. Currie | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| N. Quinn | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Bonner | 21 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| M. Bass | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Dupree | 19 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 19 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| C. George | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - |
| M. Xargay | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| S. Christon | 8 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| A. Harden | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Bias | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter