Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.4% | 79.6% | +7.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +11 (91-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candace Parker | 40 | 9-19 | 2-6 | 8-9 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 29 | - |
| A. Beard | 35 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 34 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 32 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 30 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | -1 | - |
| A. Dabovic | 18 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| T. Johnson | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Brunson | 39 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 16 | - |
| M. Moore | 39 | 6-21 | 0-4 | 8-8 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| S. Augustus | 34 | 6-16 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| L. Whalen | 29 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| D. Peters | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| A. Cruz | 18 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| A. Jones | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter