Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.0% | 32.0% | -4.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -3 (73-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Bryson * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Eric Childress * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 23 | - |
| Sam Beeler * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 34 | - |
| Maxwell Kupchak * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| T.J. Taylor | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| DaJuan Smith | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Mitch Brewe | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jarriesse Blackmon | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Vincent * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 32 | - |
| Reese Morgan * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Taylor Sutlive * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| David Nwaba * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 29 | - |
| Luke Meikle * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Zach Gordon * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Ridge Shipley | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Jaylen Shead | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Josh Martin | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Brian Bennett | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Joel Awich | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
* = starter