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2015-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders Spread Result
Elo 14.1% 85.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 13.0% 87.0% - โœ“
Margin 32.9% 67.1% +3.9 โœ“ (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 33.3% 66.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 41.4% 58.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 41.7% 58.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.9% 60.1% - โœ“

Actual: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders +6 (80-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ridge Shipley * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 11 16 -
Taylor Sutlive * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 12 17 -
Brian Bennett * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 11 15 -
Joel Awich * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 5 11 -
David Nwaba * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 3 11 15 -
Reese Morgan 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 11 15 -
Luke Meikle 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 2 4 4 9 -
Zach Gordon 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 4 9 -
Jaylen Shead 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
Josh Martin 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 3 -

Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Pye * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 5 8 -
Bryce Douvier * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 2 0 0 21 31 -
Hameed Ali * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 6 3 0 2 4 13 -
Jelani Currie * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Dale Francis * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Rashawn Thomas 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 2 3 30 39 -
Joe Kilgore 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 3 5 4 -
Ehab Amin 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 1 0 5 12 -
Viktor Juricek 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 8 10 -
Jake Kocher 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Emmanuel Toney 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter